GBP/AUD – Keep an eye on 1.6190-1.6180

Monthly chart – Watch for a break below or rebound from 1.6190… upside to be capped around 1.75, below 1.6190 would expose 1.5789 Oct 2016 low

USD/CAD – bears eyeing close below 1.2460

Monthly chart below shows a close below 1.2460 – May 2016 low would be followed by a decline to rising trend line supp of 1.2252.

USD/CHF – Long run 23.6% Fib breached

Multiple daily close above 1.1345 could be followed by a rally to 1.20 Gan fann line resistance

Daily chart

Draghi: QE taper discussions expected to take place in Autumn – Watch EUR rally

Euro erases losses, breaks falling trend line

1-hour chart… nice breach of the falling trend line, we would have a sort of bullish flag breakout of the current hourly candle closes above the falling trend line. Draghi is trying hard to kill the EUR rally, but it isn’t working… everyone knows taper has already begun for countries like Germany as the ECB has fallen short of the mandatory bond purchases for three months to June.

ECB’s Draghi: A very substantial degree of accommodation is still needed

ECB’s Draghi: QE will run t EUR 60 billion per month pace through at least December

ECB’s Draghi: Rates seen at current levels well past QE’s horizon

EUR/USD… And we are heading towards 1-hour 200-MA

Hourly chart

A nice falling trend line has been established following the ECB’s dovish rant. The spot looks set to test 1-hr 200-MA – 1.1461. That would push the RSI into the oversold territory, so further losses are to be viewed with caution…

German 10-yr yield re-enters sideways channel, eyes 0.48%

ECB’s dovish bias hasn’t gone down well with the German Bund traders. The 10-year yield has re-entered falling sideways channel and is likely to extend the drop to 5-week MA of 0.48%.

Weekly chart